Iga Swiatek came through when it mattered most. After losing the first set to Tatjana Maria, the number one ranked women’s tennis player won the next two 6-2 and 6-0. Swiatek will face Jil Teichmann in the Round of 16 in Hamburg. OddsShopper’s market-based betting model uses the sharpest sportsbooks to find the best tennis bets and odds. It then recommends where to bet them to grab the highest ROI. Users can access the model for every major sport, plus tools like Parlay Builder! Now let’s use OddsShopper to find the best Iga Swiatek-Jil Teichmann bet for this match.
Best Tennis Bets & Odds: Iga Swiatek-Jil Teichmann
It comes as no surprise that Iga Swiatek is a massive favorite in her matchup against Jil Teichmann. Swiatek is a -1600 moneyline favorite, showing that the market is happy to continue backing her in the leadup to Wimbledon. However, despite the recent form for top women’s players going strong, the results have been spotty. The three top players in the WTA tennis odds on Monday were all involved with withdrawals. Elena Rybakina withdrew from the Eastbourne Invitational due to a lingering illness. Donna Vekic withdrew from the Bad Hamburg Open after reaching the finals in the Berlin Open on Saturday, and Madison Keys got a free pass after her opponent, Linda Fruhirtova, pulled out of Eastbourne.
These kinds of things happen as the tour gets closer to Grand Slam events like Wimbledon, so its no surprise to see so many players take their hat out of the ring right now. However, it might raise some concern around Iga Swiatek, as well. Although her withdrawal would void any tennis bets, there could still be impact on her form and desire. That and Iga’s sluggish start against Maria on Monday might make some bettors concerned about her matchup with Jill Teichmann.
OddsShopper’s market-based model is showing value on the sets spread tennis bet for Swiatek-Teichmann on Thursday. Bettors may be overreacting to Swiatek’s recent performance and the play of other top women’s players, leaving value on her side of the betting action. You can buy Swiatek -1.5 (-350) at BetMGM for a solid 1% edge. The true tennis odds for the bet should be -367 for this Swiatek-Teichmann bet that wins about 79% of the time. It’s not a massive advantage, but placing a bet at 2.5-3% of your bankroll using Kelly Criterion staking makes sense in this spot.
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Best Iga Swiatek-Jill Teichmann bet: Iga Siwatek -1.5 Sets (-350) at BetMGM