The semifinal round of the French Open men’s singles tournament will get underway on Friday, June 7, and we’ve got a matchup that will likely determine the tournament: No. 2 Jannik Sinner will play No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz for a bid to the final round. With No. 1 Novak Djokovic’s withdrawal, the highest seed that Sinner or Alcaraz can face is No. 4 Alexander Zverev, who is yet to play No. 11 Alex de Minaur in quarterfinals. Let’s dive into the Carlos Alcaraz–Jannik Sinner odds for the French Open semifinals before diving into their head-to-head results.
Carlos Alcaraz-Jannik Sinner Odds for the French Open Semifinals
Carlos Alcaraz-Jannik Sinner Odds for the French Open Semifinals
Alcaraz-Sinner Odds
Alcaraz: -144
Sinner: +118
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
French Open Alcaraz-Sinner Head-to-Head Notes
Carlos Alcaraz (-144) opened as the betting favorite over Jannik Sinner (+118) for their semifinal matchup at the French Open. Sinner has dropped one set all tournament, coughing up the first to Corentin Moutet. Alcaraz dropped one to Jesper De Jong.
Sinner, a 22-year-old Italian, and Alcaraz, a 21-year-old Spaniard, are seen as the future of men’s tennis, especially as the careers of Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer come to a close. In head-to-head meetings, Alcaraz and Sinner are are 4-4, with Alcaraz winning the last meeting between the two at Indian Wells earlier this year.
But we’re on the clay courts of Roland Garros for this one, and Sinner is 1-0 against Alcaraz on clay. He beat him in the finals of the Croatia Open Umag in 2022. Alcaraz owns the better raw clay Elo rating, per Tennis Abstract, but — at least as of May 27 — trailed Sinner in adjusted clay Elo rating.
Alcaraz began the tournament as the favorite at odds of +225 at FanDuel, which have since shortened to +105. Sinner was trading at +400 as recently as May 21, but he now clocks in at +210. Whoever wins the semifinal meeting between these players is likely to open as a substantial favorite to win in finals, with Zverev (+550), Ruud (+550) and de Minaur (+3000) all clocking in with worse odds.